UNG

United States Natural Gas Fund, LP
8 filings tracked
energycommodity fundsSMALL ($300M-2B)

Signal Magnitude Chart

BEARISH | 70% | 5/8/2026 | margin compressionBEARISH | 60% | 5/8/2026 | regulatory actionBULLISH | 40% | 5/8/2026 | earnings beatBEARISH | 70% | 5/8/2026 | margin compressionBEARISH | 60% | 5/8/2026 | regulatory actionBULLISH | 40% | 5/8/2026 | earnings beatBEARISH | 70% | 5/8/2026 | margin compressionBEARISH | 60% | 5/8/2026 | regulatory actionBULLISH | 40% | 5/8/2026 | earnings beatBEARISH | 70% | 5/8/2026 | margin compressionBEARISH | 60% | 5/8/2026 | regulatory actionBULLISH | 40% | 5/8/2026 | earnings beatBEARISH | 70% | 5/8/2026 | margin compressionBEARISH | 60% | 5/8/2026 | regulatory actionBULLISH | 40% | 5/8/2026 | earnings beatBEARISH | 70% | 5/8/2026 | margin compressionBEARISH | 60% | 5/8/2026 | regulatory actionBULLISH | 40% | 5/8/2026 | earnings beatBEARISH | 70% | 5/8/2026 | margin compressionBEARISH | 60% | 5/8/2026 | regulatory actionBULLISH | 40% | 5/8/2026 | earnings beatNEUTRAL | 30% | 5/28/2026 | regulatory actionNEUTRAL | 10% | 5/28/2026 | management changeMay 26May 26HIGHLOW
bullish
bearish
neutral

Signal Timeline

neutralMay 28

Routine filing of monthly account statements as required by the Commodity Exchange Act.

regulatory action
30%
neutralMay 28

CFO Stuart P. Crumbaugh signed the report on behalf of the general partner.

management change
10%
bearishMay 8

Brokerage commissions rose 33% to $397,293, increasing the drag on NAV.

margin compression
70%
bearishMay 8

Fund breached NYMEX accountability limits for natural gas futures contracts.

regulatory action
60%
bullishMay 8

Fund outperformed benchmark return by 0.36% due to effective collateral yield.

earnings beat
40%
bearishMay 8

Brokerage commissions rose 33% to $397,293, increasing the drag on NAV.

margin compression
70%
bearishMay 8

Fund breached NYMEX accountability limits for natural gas futures contracts.

regulatory action
60%
bullishMay 8

Fund outperformed benchmark return by 0.36% due to effective collateral yield.

earnings beat
40%
bearishMay 8

Brokerage commissions rose 33% to $397,293, increasing the drag on NAV.

margin compression
70%
bearishMay 8

Fund breached NYMEX accountability limits for natural gas futures contracts.

regulatory action
60%
bullishMay 8

Fund outperformed benchmark return by 0.36% due to effective collateral yield.

earnings beat
40%
bearishMay 8

Brokerage commissions rose 33% to $397,293, increasing the drag on NAV.

margin compression
70%
bearishMay 8

Fund breached NYMEX accountability limits for natural gas futures contracts.

regulatory action
60%
bullishMay 8

Fund outperformed benchmark return by 0.36% due to effective collateral yield.

earnings beat
40%
bearishMay 8

Brokerage commissions rose 33% to $397,293, increasing the drag on NAV.

margin compression
70%
bearishMay 8

Fund breached NYMEX accountability limits for natural gas futures contracts.

regulatory action
60%
bullishMay 8

Fund outperformed benchmark return by 0.36% due to effective collateral yield.

earnings beat
40%
bearishMay 8

Brokerage commissions rose 33% to $397,293, increasing the drag on NAV.

margin compression
70%
bearishMay 8

Fund breached NYMEX accountability limits for natural gas futures contracts.

regulatory action
60%
bullishMay 8

Fund outperformed benchmark return by 0.36% due to effective collateral yield.

earnings beat
40%
bearishMay 8

Brokerage commissions rose 33% to $397,293, increasing the drag on NAV.

margin compression
70%
bearishMay 8

Fund breached NYMEX accountability limits for natural gas futures contracts.

regulatory action
60%
bullishMay 8

Fund outperformed benchmark return by 0.36% due to effective collateral yield.

earnings beat
40%

Filing History

8-KMay 28, 2026

The latest 8-K filing from United States Natural Gas Fund, LP provides a routine but critical update on the fund's financial standing through its April 2026 account statement. While the bull case views this as a victory for transparency and institutional appeal, the bear case sees a legal shield and reporting delays that obscure the true cost of maintaining natural gas exposure. The ultimate impact on the fund depends on whether the underlying NAV reflects a stabilization of roll costs or a continuing spiral of decay, leaving investors to weigh the fund's transparency claims against its governance structure.

10-QMay 8, 2026

The March 31, 2026, filing paints a picture of a fund at a crossroads, where institutional-grade execution is clashing with systemic outflows. On one hand, UNG's ability to maintain a near-perfect correlation with its benchmark while generating a modest yield spread proves its technical competency. On the other hand, the precipitous drop in net assets and the breach of exchange accountability limits suggest that the fund's scale may be becoming a liability in a volatile, contango-prone market. Ultimately, the investment thesis for UNG now hinges on whether the secular demand from AI and LNG can spark a price rally sufficient to halt the current redemption trend. While the 'yield shield' provides some protection, it cannot fully offset the impact of massive capital withdrawals and the inherent decay associated with rolling futures contracts. Investors are left to weigh the fund's operational precision against a backdrop of shrinking assets and increasing regulatory scrutiny.