QCOM

QUALCOMM INC/DE
3 filings tracked
technologysemiconductorsLARGE ($10B-200B)

Company Intelligence Hub

Filing history, signal momentum, and bull/bear evolution

Chronological Filing Evolution (Click to filter / toggle)

Thesis (Bull Case Evolution)

The investment narrative has shifted from a focus on smartphone cyclicality to a broader bet on Qualcomm's role as an AI infrastructure provider.…

Bullish Outlook

Antithesis (Bear Case / Structural Risks)

Conversely, the bear case highlights a concerning erosion of the company's core profitability. The decline in QCT gross margins and the volatility of the handset business suggest that the transition to AI is not yet offsetting the loss of legacy dominance.…

Risk Factors

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Synthesis (Verdict & Resolution)

Qualcomm's recent financial trajectory is defined by a stark contrast between operational headwinds and a strategic pivot toward AI infrastructure.…

Latest Available Quarter (Q3 '26 (10-Q))

Core Takeaway

Not specified.

Investor Lens

Not specified.

Watch Next

Not specified.

Calculated Financial Trajectory (Click to filter signals)

Revenue / Net Sales$10599M
the quarter ended December 28, '25: $12.25Bthe quarter ended March 29, '26: $10599M
Gross Margin53%
the quarter ended December 28, '25: 55%the quarter ended June 28, '26: 53%

Signal Momentum Chart

Quarterly net bull/bear signal ratio. Click nodes to select a quarter.

BULLISH (+1.0)NEUTRAL (0.0)BEARISH (-1.0)+0.08Q1 '26 (10-Q)+0.45Q2 '26 (10-Q)-0.10Q3 '26 (10-Q)

Signal Timeline

bearishJul 29

QCT gross margins fell to 53% from 56% due to handset volume declines.

margin compression
60%
bullishJul 29

Acquisitions of Alphawave and Modular Inc. accelerate AI infrastructure pivot.

acquisition
50%
bullishJul 29

Aggressive return of capital via $20 billion repurchase authorization.

buyback
40%
bearishJul 29

Net income fell 25% year-over-year, though masked by a tax windfall.

earnings miss
70%
bullishApr 29

Net income surged to $7.37 billion, though heavily impacted by a $5.7 billion tax benefit.

earnings beat
90%
bullishApr 29

Completed $2.3 billion acquisition of Alphawave IP Group to bolster data center AI capabilities.

acquisition
80%
bullishApr 29

Authorized a new $20 billion share repurchase program to return capital to shareholders.

buyback
70%
bearishApr 29

QCT segment operating margins declined as handset revenues softened.

margin compression
60%
bearishFeb 4

Gross margins fell to 55% due to unfavorable product mix.

margin compression
60%
bullishFeb 4

Completed $2.3 billion acquisition of Alphawave IP Group.

acquisition
80%
bearishFeb 4

Net income decreased 5.5% year-over-year.

earnings miss
40%
bullishFeb 4

Returned $2.65 billion to shareholders via repurchases.

buyback
50%

Filing History

10-QJul 29, 2026
Expand Sequence

The latest 10-Q presents a company at a critical crossroads, where a massive non-cash tax benefit has temporarily decoupled net income from operational reality. While the growth in automotive and IoT is a positive signal of diversification, it is currently insufficient to offset the structural decline in the core handset business. The company's ability to fund its AI ambitions while maintaining a multi-billion dollar buyback program creates a tightrope for management. Ultimately, the investment thesis rests on whether the AI-native infrastructure pivot can scale fast enough to replace the eroding legacy business. Investors must weigh the potential of the 6G roadmap and data center expansion against the immediate risks of margin compression and the looming threat of further intellectual property litigation.

10-QApr 29, 2026
Expand Sequence

The latest 10-Q presents a company at a critical crossroads, balancing a massive one-time tax windfall against a softening core handset market. While the net income figure is visually striking, the underlying operational data reveals a challenging environment for the QCT segment, which is being offset by promising growth in automotive and data center verticals. The acquisition of Alphawave IP Group marks a decisive move to capture the AI infrastructure market. Ultimately, the investment thesis hinges on whether Qualcomm can scale its AI and automotive ambitions fast enough to replace the volatility of the smartphone cycle. The company's ability to maintain its aggressive capital return program while funding the R&D necessary to compete with vertically integrated OEMs will be the primary driver of long-term valuation.

10-QFeb 4, 2026
Expand Sequence

The latest filing presents a company at a critical crossroads, balancing aggressive growth in AI and automotive markets against tightening operational margins. While the acquisition of Alphawave IP Group signals a bold move into data center infrastructure, the immediate impact is felt through increased amortization and a dip in net income to $3.00 billion. Investors are now weighing the potential of Qualcomm's multi-platform AI vision against the reality of a volatile legal environment and high debt levels. The tension between returning capital to shareholders and funding the expensive transition to a diversified semiconductor leader remains the central theme for the stock's near-term trajectory.

Disclaimer: The synthesis provided is generated by AI models and should not be construed as investment advice. Analysis is based solely on regulatory data present at the time of publication. Consult a financial advisor for specific investment strategies.