EPSN

Epsilon Energy Ltd.
3 filings tracked
energyoil gas explorationSMALL ($300M-2B)

Signal Magnitude Chart

BULLISH | 90% | 3/27/2026 | acquisitionBEARISH | 60% | 3/27/2026 | margin compressionNEUTRAL | 70% | 3/27/2026 | capital raiseBULLISH | 50% | 3/27/2026 | buybackNEUTRAL | 40% | 3/27/2026 | divestitureBEARISH | 70% | 5/13/2026 | earnings missBEARISH | 80% | 5/13/2026 | margin compressionBULLISH | 60% | 5/13/2026 | acquisitionBULLISH | 40% | 5/13/2026 | buybackBEARISH | 70% | 5/13/2026 | earnings missBEARISH | 80% | 5/13/2026 | margin compressionBULLISH | 60% | 5/13/2026 | acquisitionBULLISH | 40% | 5/13/2026 | buybackMar 26May 26HIGHLOW
bullish
bearish
neutral

Signal Timeline

bearishMay 13

GAAP net income fell 82% year-over-year despite significant revenue growth.

earnings miss
70%
bearishMay 13

Upstream operating costs more than doubled from $0.89 to $2.02 per Mcfe.

margin compression
80%
bullishMay 13

Peak Exploration acquisition drove a 58% increase in total quarterly revenue.

acquisition
60%
bullishMay 13

Authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $15 million.

buyback
40%
bearishMay 13

GAAP net income fell 82% year-over-year despite significant revenue growth.

earnings miss
70%
bearishMay 13

Upstream operating costs more than doubled from $0.89 to $2.02 per Mcfe.

margin compression
80%
bullishMay 13

Peak Exploration acquisition drove a 58% increase in total quarterly revenue.

acquisition
60%
bullishMay 13

Authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $15 million.

buyback
40%
bullishMar 27

Acquired Peak Exploration & Production, increasing proved reserves by 86%.

acquisition
90%
bearishMar 27

Upstream operating costs rose 72% to $12.5 million, increasing unit costs to $1.06/Mcfe.

margin compression
60%
neutralMar 27

Established new $80 million reserve-based revolving credit facility to fund operations and acquisitions.

capital raise
70%
bullishMar 27

Authorized a new $15 million share repurchase program representing 10% of outstanding shares.

buyback
50%
neutralMar 27

Sold all interests in Anadarko Basin, Oklahoma, resulting in a $19.3 million loss.

divestiture
40%

Filing History

10-QMay 13, 2026

The Q1 2026 filing reveals a company in the midst of a high-stakes transformation. On one hand, the acquisition of Peak Exploration has fundamentally upgraded Epsilon's asset base, shifting the revenue mix toward higher-value liquids and increasing total operating revenues. The ability to generate $10.1 million in operating cash flow while simultaneously reducing debt and paying dividends demonstrates a capacity for short-term survival and growth. However, the transition has introduced significant volatility and risk. The massive spike in operating costs and the heavy losses from derivative hedges create a disconnect between Adjusted EBITDA and actual GAAP profitability. Investors must weigh the promise of a high-quality asset portfolio against the reality of internal control weaknesses and a hedge book that currently acts as a drag on earnings. The trajectory of the stock will likely depend on management's ability to remediate internal controls and optimize the cost structure of the newly acquired Wyoming assets.

10-KMar 27, 2026

The 2025 10-K portrays a company in the midst of a high-stakes transition from a small-cap producer to a multi-basin operator. The Peak acquisition has successfully diversified the revenue stream and vastly increased the reserve base, but it has also introduced significant debt and integration risks. The disparity between the Adjusted EBITDA growth and the GAAP net loss highlights a reliance on non-cash adjustments and one-time events to mask operational headwinds. Ultimately, the investment case hinges on management's ability to convert its substantial proved undeveloped reserves into production without further eroding the balance sheet. While the midstream fee-based income provides a critical safety net, the overarching risk remains the volatility of regional natural gas pricing and the company's ability to service its new debt load in a fluctuating commodity environment.